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Fed officials signal patience on rate cuts amid sticky inflation data
Nvidia announces next-gen AI accelerator, shares jump 3% pre-market
European markets open higher on strong PMI data; DAX up 0.8%
Treasury yields steady ahead of key jobs report on Friday
Markets positioning cautiously ahead of NFP. Tech sector shows relative strength on NVDA catalyst. Watch 10Y yield at 4.30% resistance. Fed speakers lean hawkish.
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What's the biggest risk factor for today's session?
The primary risk today is the 10Y Treasury yield testing 4.30% resistance. A breakout above this level could trigger a rotation out of growth/tech stocks. Additionally, two Fed speakers (Waller at 10 AM, Bowman at 2 PM) could shift rate cut expectations if they signal further delays.
Which earnings reports should I watch most closely?
Focus on AAPL (reporting BMO) — consensus expects $2.18 EPS with services revenue being the key metric. Also watch MSFT for Azure growth commentary and any AI capex guidance. Both could set the tone for the entire tech sector this week.
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